前瞻政策研究中心出版品
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Reform Identity And Chinese Foreign Policy
Brief Introduction
…Following the general line of psychological approach to political behavior, Professor shih strives to analyze Chinese response to reform, identity, national unification, and foreign policy not from the obvious external factors affecting policy crises and outcomes but from the internal psychic need of the Chinese caught in the process of drastic political change. …Advancing the dichotomous concepts of “progressionist” and “conditionist,” Shih presents a general paradigm to interpret the complicated and often contradictory responses of Chinese political leaders and intellectuals toward issues such as political reform, modernization, unification, and western intrusion and assistance. The result is a stimulating collection of new and insightful interpretations and prescriptions. …Professor Shih is a serious political scientist with a fiercely independent mind. …The essays in this book testify to his effort and contribution in his regard.
Yung Wei
Professor and President of VIPS
The author teaches Chinese politics, gender politics and political psychology at National Taiwan University. He has published and edited 40 books, 7 of them are in English, including Collective Democracy (Hong Kong), The Spirit of Chinese Foreign Policy (London), State and Society in China’s Political Economy (Boulder), Feminist Critique of Political Science (Taipei), and so on.
目 錄
序 言
Foreword
I.「美國政府對華政策之可能演變分析及政策因應」研究計畫之緣起、研究方法、進行方式,暨研究重點
魏
鏞
II.本研究主要發現及政策建議 魏 鏞
III.台北–華盛頓–北京三角關係及其對兩岸關係之影響:
狀況分析及政策建議 魏 鏞
Taipei-Washington-Beijing Relations and Its Impacts on
Cross-Strait Relations: Analyses and Policy
Recommendations Yung Wei
IV.美國政府對華政策之現況及未來可能演變走向之分析 陳一新
V.思考可思考者:小布希政府對台及兩岸關係作法之探討 江文漢
Thinking the Thinkable: George W. Bush Administration Approaches Taiwan and Cross-Straits Relations Gerrit W. Gong
VI.美國反恐戰略之清晰化使美國對「中國」及台灣政策
模糊化 譚慎格
America’s Strategic Clarity on Terror Blurs China-Taiwan
Policy
John Tkacik
VII. 911事件後之美國全球戰略部署與中國大陸繼承危機
陳一新
Post-911 U.S. Global Strategic Deployment and Chinese Succession Crisis: Implications for U.S.-China-Taiwan Relations
Edward I-hsin Chen
附錄:
1. 民國九十一年六月六日在華府大西洋委員會就本研究初步報告所舉行之圓桌研討會內容英文摘要
Roundtable Summary of June 6, 2002 Meeting in Washington,
D.C.
2. 美國在台協會前理事主席卜睿哲博士2001年1月28日在政大國際關係研究中心演講
“U.S.-Taiwan Relations at the Beginning of a New Year,” speech delivered by Dr. Richard Bush, former chairman of AIT at the Institute of International Relations, National Chengchi University, January 28, 2001
3. 美國在台協會台北辦事處處長包道格博士2002年11月7日在中華民國高等政策研究協會與美國蘭德智庫合辦之「中共軍事國際學術研討會:中共十六大對解放軍之影響」上演講
“Modern Deterrence and Public Policy,” speech delivered by Dr. Douglas Paal, Director of AIT, at the International Conference on the PLA Affairs “Whither the PLA After the 16th Party Congress” co-sponsored by CAPS and RAND, November 7, 2002
4. 美國眾院外交委員會主席海德2002年3月6日於美國傳統基金會演講「美國,中國與東亞的未來」
“The U.S., China, and the Future of East Asia,” speech
delivered by the Honorable Henry J. Hyde at The Heritage Foundation in
Washington, D.C. on March 6, 2002
5. 台灣關係法(Taiwan Relations Act)
6. 美(中)聯合上海公報
The Joint U.S.-China Communiqué, Shanghai, February 27, 1972
7. 美(中)聯合建交公報
Joint Communiqué on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations Between the United States of America and the People's Republic of China, January 1, 1979
8. 八一七公報
U.S.-PRC Joint Communiqué, August 17, 1982
作者簡介
Contributors
—台灣地區民眾之施政反應與投票行為之研究發現
(民國六十八年至七十五年)—
目 錄
一、 研究民意調查及從事台灣地區民眾施政反應及投票行為調查研究的回顧—代序
二、 台澎地區選民投票行為之分析(中華民國六十八年五月九日)
三、 臺澎地區選民政治態度及投票傾向—追蹤調查之發現分析(中華民國六十九年八月六日)
四、 臺澎地區選民對政府施政反應之分析—第三次「現代化研究」調查之主要發現—(中華民國七十年八月)
五、 臺澎地區選民投票行為及政治傾向—第三次民意調查之主要發現(中華民國七十年九月廿三日)
六、 臺灣地區民眾對政治施政反應之分析—第四次「現代化研究之主要發現」(中華民國七十二年五月十九日)
七、 臺澎地區選民投票行為及政治傾向—第四次民意調查之主要發現(中華民國七十二年十一月十五日)
八、 臺澎地區選民投票行為及政治傾向—第五次民意調查之主要發現(中華民國七十四年十一月一日)
九、 向穩定、和諧、嶄新的道路邁進—從六次民意調查結果看政治發展趨勢(中華民國七十五年五月五日)
十、 附件:魏鏞,「民意形成與選舉行為:關於研究方向與理論模式的幾點意見」,《政治學報》,第六期(台北:中國政治學會,民國六十六年十二月)